Editor’s Note: The following article was submitted to TKB by Knick fan Bill Obenauer. As always we
encourage opinion pieces to be submitted.
With reports widely publicized that talks regarding Zach Randolph between Donnie Walsh of the New York Knicks and Chris Wallace of the Memphis Grizzlies are dead, many Knick fans are concerned as to how this will affect the future of the club. While having Randolph on the team’s roster at the start of the season may cause a logjam in the front court that hinders the development of some of the younger players, it may not prohibit the team’s long-term plans of landing a marquee free agent as some have suggested.
First of all, if there’s one thing we did learn from the talks between New York and Memphis, it’s that Walsh may be willing to add a contract worth $7.6 million (i.e. Marko Jaric) in 2010-2011 if it meant unloading Randolph’s $17.3 million that year. Had that taken place and the Knicks had signed David Lee to an extension that would presumably be worth $7 million per year, the team would have hardly shedded any salary cap space for the summer of 2010. For this reason alone, trading Randolph for Mililic and Jaric would have actually hurt the Knicks’ free agency plans more than keeping Zach around for a while.
Having said that, if Walsh was willing to add Jaric’s $7.6 million in 2010-2011, there’s no reason to hesitate on signing Lee to an extension at this point. He’s a workhorse with a positive attitude who practically averages a double-double in less than thirty minutes a game. Basically, he’s the kind of guy that star players like to have on their team. Locking him up will make the Knicks a more appealing destination for any free agent.
If they do lock up Lee, however, that would give the Knicks approximately $52 million on the books for 2010-2011, leaving very little room to sign James, Wade, Bosh etc. That’s okay because the possibility of trading Randolph is at its ultimate low right now. The Knicks are coming off a season where their roster simply did not work and other GM’s are biting at the chomp to see what the Knicks are willing to dump. People expect to see Walsh make his mark on this franchise (which he has been doing by showing that he will not be taken advantage of) and as long as the perception is that Randolph is unwanted in New York, the Knicks won’t receive a good offer for him. The fact of the matter is, however, for as untradeable as Knick fans are fearing that Randolph is, the team has already received offers for him from two different teams this summer.
The closer Randolph comes to the end of his contract, the easier he becomes to move, but he will also be very marketable mid-season. In a wide open Eastern Conference, the Chicago Bulls have a glaring hole in their frontcourt. If they can reach a contract agreement with Ben Gordon, Larry Hughes becomes very expendable and should the Bulls find themselves in the mix come mid-season, John Paxson may be willing to ship him out and take a chance on Randolph.
Though the Cavaliers may not want to help the Knicks clear cap space to go after their top free-agent in 2010, Cleveland could also be a sensible destination for Randolph. Should the Cavaliers struggle with the vastly improved Philadelphia 76ers, whom they will face twice in the preseason and then two more times before the trade deadline, a tweak in the frontcourt may become imminent. While a rapidly declining Ben Wallace may seem more likely to contain Elton Brand than a defensively invisible Zach Randolph would be, Randolph may actually have a better shot at slowing down Brand by wearing him out with his offensive pressure.
While there could be several other trading partners out there, including Sacramento (with the recent retirement of Abdur-Rahim) and Houston (if Tracy McGrady’s chronic back problems were to get even worse), there is still the possibility that Randolph could be on the Knicks’ roster come 2010, but if that were the case, it would make the Knicks a prime sign-and-trade partner. Though a Randolph for LeBron James trade may seem to make no sense, it would be better for the Cavs than losing James to the Nets for nothing, especially if the Knicks threw in some cash and a draft pick. Consider the fact that the Detroit Pistons were practically forced to send Grant Hill, who was widely regarded as the league’s best player at the time, to Orlando for the little-known Ben Wallace and Chucky Atkins in August of 2000 and using Randolph in a sign-and-trade doesn’t seem so unrealistic.
The other consideration that can’t be neglected is that the hype around the summer of 2010 is based upon speculation that every player with the opportunity to opt out that summer will. Perhaps, the Cavaliers commit to James that they will land another marquee player in 2010 if he doesn’t opt out, and he chooses to stick around one more season and see how it plays out. Or, maybe, Chris Bosh decides that he doesn’t want to hit the free agent market going up against James and Wade. Also, Kobe Bryant becomes a free agent in 2011 and although he will be 33 at that time, that’s no older than Michael Jordan was when he won his final three NBA Championships. Whatever the case may be, if the Knicks can’t position themselves well for the summer of 2010, they currently have not a single contract on the books for 2011 where we should see some good opportunities for free agent signings as well.
In all reality, the Isiah-Era has created the most negative attitude that New York basketball has ever seen. Fans are angry, disgusted, frustrated, scared, and ashamed. The media has taken these emotions and used them in the case of the Zach Randolph situation to create panic and sell newspapers. The reality is that fans should be happy that Walsh rejected Wallace’s offer for Randolph. It shows that the team president is no longer flying by the seat his pants, and it’s not as critical to the franchise’s future as the media would scare you into believing.
Thanks Bill. One has to wonder if Walsh was hesitant with the Jaric contract. That and the said first round pick inclusion made it a no-brainer to turn down. I think that Walsh would have traded the first round pick had Memphis included Antoine Walker. I’m not sure he would have pulled the trigger on Darko and Jaric. Darko would have had an audition here, but you could have replaced his contract with Lee’s extension.
If heard a lot of rumbling over Ben Wallace, and I keep asking myself “would Ferry help the Knicks salary situation at the price of winning games this year??”