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Hollinger’s Draft Rater

by Chris Alvino on June 18th, 2009 at 5:55 pm

I’ll let you guys and gals play around with this one. For those that have not looked at this yet, it is fairly interesting. According to Hollinger’s draft rater, this is the top dozen players in this year’s draft class:

“To review for the uninitiated, the Draft Rater looks at a player’s college production in a variety of metrics and a few other salient facts (such as his height, birth date and years of college experience), and from that projects what a player’s Player Efficiency Rating will be when he reaches his peak.

According to Hollinger, the Draft Rater also has spotted some of the biggest steals in recent years:

• Carlos Boozer was the 26th collegian taken in 2002; Draft Rater had him second.

• Josh Howard was 17th in 2003; Draft Rater had him fifth.

• Danny Granger was the 13th collegian in 2005; Draft Rater had him third.

• Rajon Rondo was the 16th collegian taken in 2006, but Draft Rater had him second.

• Rodney Stuckey was the 14th collegian chosen in 2007; Draft Rater had him fifth.

• And last year, two players the Draft Rater had rated much higher than others did, Mario Chalmers and George Hill, had productive rookie seasons.

Top 12 Player According to Hollinger’s Device:

1. Ty Lawson, 2. Blake Griffin, 3. Ty Evans, 4. Austin Daye, 5. Steph Curry, 6. Nick Calathes, 7. Dejuan Blair, 8. Danny Green, 9. Flynn, 10. James Harden, 11. Hasheem Thabeet, 12. Earl Clark

This only rates college players, so Rubio is not on the list. He highlights DeMar DeRozan as one of the biggest potential busts, something that I can agree with after seeing him play.

One problem that I have with Hollinger’s mechanisms is that they are so, well,  mechanical. They are clever and complex, sure, but there is a lot more to basketball than stats.

Oh well, give it a look if you want. it is pretty interesting. Next week’s draft will not unfold the way his rater predicts. That much is sure about the NBA’s future.

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About Chris Alvino

Chris Alvino grew up in Crestwood, NY. He graduated from Regis High School in 2005. There he played both basketball and baseball. Chris is currently a student at Boston College, where he practices with the varsity Women's Basketball Team (... seriously). Chris has been a Knicks' fan for years and can literally talk about them all day long, every day of the week. Chris enjoys writing on this blog and seeing what everyone out there has to say about it. View all posts by Chris Alvino →